Cross lag analysis of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students

ZENG Zhi; FU Gang; LI Ke; WANG Meifeng; WU Lian; ZHANG Tiancheng; ZHANG Fulan

doi:10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092

Volume 46 Issue 3

Mar. 2025

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ZENG Zhi, FU Gang, LI Ke, WANG Meifeng, WU Lian, ZHANG Tiancheng, ZHANG Fulan. Cross lag analysis of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF SCHOOL HEALTH, 2025, 46(3): 348-352. doi: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092

Citation:

ZENG Zhi, FU Gang, LI Ke, WANG Meifeng, WU Lian, ZHANG Tiancheng, ZHANG Fulan. Cross lag analysis of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF SCHOOL HEALTH, 2025, 46(3): 348-352. doi: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092

Citation:

ZENG Zhi, FU Gang, LI Ke, WANG Meifeng, WU Lian, ZHANG Tiancheng, ZHANG Fulan. Cross lag analysis of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students[J]. CHINESE JOURNAL OF SCHOOL HEALTH, 2025, 46(3): 348-352. doi: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092

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Cross lag analysis of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students

doi: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025092

1.
Department of Physical Education, Basic Courses, Xiangxi Vocational and Technical College for Nationalities, Xiangxi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture (416000), Hunan Province, China

Received Date: 2024-09-30
Rev Recd Date: 2025-02-05

Available Online: 2025-04-03

Publish Date: 2025-03-25

Abstract

Abstract

Objective To explore the causal link of cumulative ecological risk and future orientation with health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students, so as to provide reference for reducing and preventing health risk behaviors among higher vocational college students. Methods A longitudinal follow-up study was conducted on 612 students using convenience sampling from 2 vocational colleges in Hunan Province. The Cumulative Ecological Risk Scale, Future Orientation Scale, and Health Risk Behavior Scale were used during three follow-up visits (T1: September 2022, T2: June 2023, T3: March 2024), and a cross-lagged panel model was constructed to examine the longitudinal causal relationship of cumulative ecological risk, future orientation and health risk behaviors. Analysis of longitudinal intermediary effect between variables by Bootstrap. Results The cumulative ecological risk scores of T1, T2 and T3 among higher vocational college students were (2.94±1.44, 2.99±1.63, 3.02±1.54), future orientation scores (40.49±4.71, 41.51±5.72, 41.06±4.35) and health risk behavior scores (3.73±2.01, 3.49±2.00, 3.23±2.00). The results of repeated measures ANOVA showed that the future orientation score of T2 was higher than that of T1, and the main effect of measurement time was statistically significant (F=5.09, P < 0.01, η²=0.02). The health risk behavior score of T1 was higher than that of T2, and the health risk behavior score of T2 was higher than that of T3, and the main effect of measurement time was statistically significant (F=10.12, P < 0.01, η²=0.03).The cross-lagged model showed good adaptability, with χ²/df=7.20 (P < 0.01), relative fitting indicators GFI=0.98, CFI=0.99, TLI=0.96, IFI=0.99, NFI=0.99, and absolute fitting indicator RMSEA=0.06. Among them, the T1, T2 cumulative ecological risk showed negatively predictive effects on T2, T3 future orientation (β=-0.24, -0.47), and T1, T2 cumulative ecological risk positively predicted T2, T3 health risk behavior (β=0.20, 0.24), while T1, T2 future orientation negatively predicted T2, T3 health risk behavior (β=-0.25, -0.18) (P < 0.01). Bootstrap test analysis found that T2 future orientation had a longitudinal mediating effect (β=0.04, P < 0.01) on the T1 cumulative ecological risk and T3 health risk behavior. Conclusions The accumulation of ecological risk among higher vocational college students can positively predict health-risk behaviors, while future orientation can negatively predict health-risk behaviors. Moreover, future orientation plays a longitudinal mediating role between accumulated ecological risks and health-risk behaviors.
- Cumulative ecological risk,
- Dangerous behavior,
- Mental health,
- Cross-over studies,
- Students

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References(19)

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